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Red134
17828.6
17558.8
24651.3
Blue93
23057.2
12651.7
568742.0
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12314905010020025030013493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
175
#6
58.80.1
51.952.0
Auto2.8
Teleop56.1
End0.0
red by 1.6
230
#23
57.22.9
60.357.5
Auto3.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
Second
246
#24
51.30.1
54.854.9
Auto5.1
Teleop46.2
End0.0
blue by 0.5
126
#16
51.72.9
49.546.7
Auto0.6
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Third
178
#56
28.60.1
25.125.2
Auto2.2
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 13.4
5687
#46
42.02.9
40.537.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.5
End0.0