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Red128
9528.8
88541.9
283653.4
Blue170
176867.3
573536.9
234259.4
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10115650200250300128170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.40.7
48.248.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop53.8
End0.0
blue by 13.9
67.30.9
58.659.4
Auto-0.4
Teleop67.7
End0.0
Second
885
#40
41.90.7
37.037.8
Auto0.7
Teleop41.2
End0.0
blue by 17.5
2342
#12
59.40.9
56.056.8
Auto8.3
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Third
95
#51
28.80.7
28.429.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 8.1
5735
#36
36.90.9
38.139.0
Auto0.8
Teleop36.1
End0.0