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Red159
50145.7
206759.9
456454.2
Blue120
17645.4
13349.7
404848.0
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16611750100150200250159120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2067
#14
59.90.2
66.766.5
Auto0.8
Teleop59.1
End0.0
red by 10.2
133
#39
49.70.4
50.049.5
Auto0.9
Teleop48.7
End0.0
Second
4564
#13
54.20.2
54.854.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
red by 6.2
4048
#27
48.00.4
39.539.1
Auto1.4
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Third
501
#9
45.70.2
42.542.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop45.7
End0.0
red by 0.3
176
#42
45.40.4
39.439.0
Auto1.1
Teleop44.3
End0.0