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Red112
393040.3
21329.4
405548.6
Blue117
173541.6
110040.2
568742.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11399406080120140160180112117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4055
#32
48.60.2
44.844.6
Auto1.4
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 6.6
5687
#46
42.00.6
37.638.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.5
End0.0
Second
3930
#49
40.30.2
39.539.4
Auto0.6
Teleop39.7
End0.0
blue by 1.3
1735
#43
41.60.6
36.437.0
Auto2.6
Teleop39.0
End0.0
Third
213
#45
29.40.2
30.730.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 10.8
1100
#44
40.20.6
31.131.7
Auto4.3
Teleop35.9
End0.0