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Red36
109936.9
23650.8
23057.2
Blue111
15545.7
13832.6
31941.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1451015020025036111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#23
57.24.8
57.552.7
Auto3.1
Teleop54.1
End0.0
red by 11.5
155
#15
45.70.0
41.041.0
Auto2.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0
Second
236
#22
50.84.8
46.641.8
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End0.0
red by 9.2
319
#17
41.60.0
39.339.3
Auto8.7
Teleop32.9
End0.0
Third
1099
#48
36.94.8
39.534.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 4.2
138
#60
32.60.0
31.331.3
Auto0.6
Teleop32.0
End0.0