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Red122
8850.5
9528.8
19581.3
Blue166
283653.4
12651.7
17342.1
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15812550100200250122166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#2
81.31.8
78.776.9
Auto-1.9
Teleop83.1
End0.0
red by 27.9
53.41.5
48.950.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop53.8
End0.0
Second
88
#11
50.51.8
50.949.1
Auto1.1
Teleop49.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
126
#16
51.71.5
46.748.2
Auto0.6
Teleop51.1
End0.0
Third
95
#51
28.81.8
29.127.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 13.3
173
#35
42.11.5
39.641.2
Auto1.7
Teleop40.5
End0.0