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Red143
456454.2
217057.4
234259.4
Blue110
287635.3
314653.2
206759.9
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170146100200250143110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#12
59.41.5
56.855.4
Auto8.3
Teleop51.1
End0.0
blue by 0.5
2067
#14
59.92.2
66.564.2
Auto0.8
Teleop59.1
End0.0
Second
57.41.5
61.059.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop58.1
End0.0
red by 4.2
53.22.2
55.753.4
Auto0.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
Third
4564
#13
54.21.5
54.553.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop54.3
End0.0
red by 18.9
2876
#33
35.32.2
32.730.5
Auto1.2
Teleop34.1
End0.0