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Red156
283653.4
66326.9
105839.0
Blue198
314653.2
17558.8
287753.1
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions92160050200250300156198

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.42.5
50.552.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop53.8
End0.0
blue by 5.5
175
#6
58.82.2
53.555.7
Auto2.8
Teleop56.1
End0.0
Second
1058
#37
39.02.5
32.835.3
Auto-0.6
Teleop39.6
End0.0
blue by 14.2
53.22.2
53.455.6
Auto0.6
Teleop52.6
End0.0
Third
663
#55
26.92.5
22.825.3
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 26.2
53.12.2
47.850.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop53.2
End0.0