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Red229
21329.4
17645.4
1519102.6
Blue179
5855.3
81135.5
176867.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions170134100150200250229179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
102.62.9
99.6102.5
Auto16.0
Teleop86.6
End0.0
red by 35.3
67.31.7
61.563.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop67.7
End0.0
Second
176
#42
45.42.9
40.543.4
Auto1.1
Teleop44.3
End0.0
blue by 9.9
58
#30
55.31.7
52.153.9
Auto0.8
Teleop54.5
End0.0
Third
213
#45
29.42.9
30.633.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop29.5
End0.0
blue by 6.1
811
#50
35.51.7
30.832.5
Auto1.3
Teleop34.2
End0.0