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Red139
371827.3
234259.4
568742.0
Blue193
15545.7
23650.8
99954.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions116129050150200250300350400139193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2342
#12
59.40.8
55.456.2
Auto8.3
Teleop51.1
End0.0
red by 5.1
999
#10
54.33.1
48.951.9
Auto1.1
Teleop53.1
End0.0
Second
5687
#46
42.00.8
38.239.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop42.5
End0.0
blue by 8.8
236
#22
50.83.1
41.844.9
Auto7.7
Teleop43.2
End0.0
Third
3718
#54
27.30.8
28.529.4
Auto1.9
Teleop25.5
End0.0
blue by 18.4
155
#15
45.73.1
41.044.0
Auto2.4
Teleop43.3
End0.0