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Qual 112015 Newton Division
Red173
175672.3
1678103.4
252257.2
Blue219
95570.0
19586.2
287761.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions218186150200250300173219

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#2
103.42.4
98.8→96.4
Auto12.6
Teleop90.8
End0.0
red by 17.2
195
#3
86.21.1
81.3→82.3
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
Second
1756
#9
72.32.4
67.0→64.6
Auto9.1
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 2.2
955
#14
70.01.1
63.4→64.4
Auto0.2
Teleop69.9
End0.0
Third
2522
#19
57.22.4
54.7→52.4
Auto0.1
Teleop57.1
End0.0
blue by 4.4
2877
#8
61.61.1
53.1→54.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.9
End0.0