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Qual 1232015 Newton Division
Red151
490327.1
111130.6
7446.1
Blue74
552618.8
548939.3
233924.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions947805015015174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#47
46.12.8
43.3→46.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.3
End0.0
red by 6.8
5489
#27
39.30.5
39.8→39.3
Auto0.6
Teleop38.7
End0.0
Second
1111
#39
30.62.8
27.8→30.6
Auto0.2
Teleop30.3
End0.0
red by 6.1
2339
#70
24.40.5
24.9→24.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
4903
#44
27.12.8
24.3→27.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 8.3
5526
#62
18.80.5
19.2→18.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0