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Red124
346764.2
203934.5
432222.8
Blue173
313727.8
287761.6
215839.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11811580100140160180124173

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#23
64.20.2
64.564.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.4
End0.0
red by 2.6
61.62.6
59.562.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.9
End0.0
Second
2039
#46
34.50.2
32.532.7
Auto0.2
Teleop34.3
End0.0
blue by 4.6
2158
#48
39.22.6
36.639.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop39.4
End0.0
Third
4322
#63
22.80.2
22.522.8
Auto0.3
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 5.0
3137
#59
27.82.6
25.227.8
Auto0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0