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Red111
418842.4
191866.5
313727.8
Blue81
32130.8
50279.9
53731.7
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12349010015020025011181

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1918
#22
66.50.2
56.956.7
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
red by 34.8
537
#41
31.71.2
22.223.4
Auto0.7
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
4188
#18
42.40.2
31.431.1
Auto0.0
Teleop42.4
End0.0
red by 11.6
321
#54
30.81.2
28.830.0
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Third
3137
#59
27.80.3
27.527.2
Auto0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 17.8
5027
#73
9.91.4
11.512.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0