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Red85
10019.9
518862.7
432222.8
Blue164
346437.9
313077.7
167157.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7817105010015020025030085164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#15
62.70.5
59.659.0
Auto0.3
Teleop62.4
End0.0
blue by 15.0
77.70.1
66.066.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
Second
4322
#63
22.80.5
20.419.9
Auto0.3
Teleop22.5
End0.0
blue by 34.9
1671
#25
57.70.1
62.963.0
Auto-1.0
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Third
100
#69
19.90.5
15.615.0
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 18.0
3464
#32
37.90.1
33.233.3
Auto1.3
Teleop36.6
End0.0