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Red93
252257.2
484213.5
260764.3
Blue126
2540.7
447131.9
457528.0
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125925015020093126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2607
#20
64.31.6
62.961.3
Auto0.2
Teleop64.1
End0.0
red by 23.6
25
#26
40.71.3
41.142.3
Auto-0.8
Teleop41.5
End0.0
Second
2522
#19
57.21.6
52.450.8
Auto0.1
Teleop57.1
End0.0
red by 25.3
4471
#40
31.91.3
30.131.4
Auto0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Third
4842
#66
13.51.6
9.17.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
blue by 14.6
4575
#60
28.01.3
29.630.9
Auto0.4
Teleop27.7
End0.0