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Qual 182015 Newton Division
Red72
484116.5
548939.3
198380.7
Blue54
175672.3
549529.6
58722.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131103501502007254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#12
80.73.0
87.9→84.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop81.2
End0.0
red by 8.4
1756
#9
72.32.9
64.6→61.7
Auto9.1
Teleop63.2
End0.0
Second
5489
#27
39.33.0
28.3→25.4
Auto0.6
Teleop38.7
End0.0
red by 9.7
5495
#61
29.62.9
28.2→25.3
Auto0.7
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
4841
#68
16.53.0
15.0→12.0
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 6.2
587
#35
22.62.9
18.4→15.5
Auto0.6
Teleop22.0
End0.0