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Red111
450126.6
287761.6
29534.2
Blue156
303949.1
353951.2
552618.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11197406080120140160180111156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
61.60.1
54.154.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop61.9
End0.0
red by 10.3
3539
#43
51.22.7
47.650.2
Auto0.5
Teleop50.8
End0.0
Second
295
#50
34.20.1
29.929.8
Auto0.5
Teleop33.7
End0.0
blue by 14.9
49.13.3
40.043.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0
Third
4501
#56
26.60.1
28.628.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 7.8
5526
#62
18.82.7
14.917.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0