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Red147
490327.1
394041.5
317147.8
Blue180
174146.6
331446.8
17555.3
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93146050200250147180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#33
47.82.1
48.250.3
Auto0.4
Teleop47.4
End0.0
blue by 7.5
175
#24
55.31.9
58.860.7
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
Second
3940
#53
41.52.1
36.238.3
Auto0.2
Teleop41.3
End0.0
blue by 5.3
3314
#21
46.81.9
37.839.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
Third
4903
#44
27.12.3
20.723.0
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.6
End0.0
blue by 19.5
1741
#31
46.61.9
46.148.0
Auto1.0
Teleop45.6
End0.0