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Qual 392015 Newton Division
Red170
175672.3
495439.9
454122.8
Blue109
167157.7
447131.9
552618.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1091066080100120140160170109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1756
#9
72.33.0
64.7→67.7
Auto9.1
Teleop63.2
End0.0
red by 14.6
1671
#25
57.70.1
61.3→61.2
Auto-1.0
Teleop58.7
End0.0
Second
4954
#29
39.93.0
33.9→36.9
Auto-0.9
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 8.1
4471
#40
31.90.1
32.0→31.8
Auto0.1
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Third
4541
#64
22.83.0
12.0→15.0
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 4.1
5526
#62
18.80.1
18.4→18.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop18.9
End0.0