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Red153
111130.6
198380.7
313727.8
Blue236
118109.2
303949.1
252257.2
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11621650100150200250300350153236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1983
#12
80.70.8
83.784.5
Auto-0.4
Teleop81.2
End0.0
blue by 28.5
118
#1
109.21.4
114.9116.3
Auto12.8
Teleop96.4
End0.0
Second
1111
#39
30.60.8
25.726.5
Auto0.2
Teleop30.3
End0.0
blue by 26.6
2522
#19
57.21.4
51.753.1
Auto0.1
Teleop57.1
End0.0
Third
3137
#59
27.80.8
27.027.9
Auto0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
blue by 21.3
49.11.4
41.442.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop49.5
End0.0