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Qual 412015 Newton Division
Red156
518862.7
547928.9
552921.5
Blue108
551120.8
549529.6
32130.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10565050150200156108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5188
#15
62.72.7
60.0→62.7
Auto0.3
Teleop62.4
End0.0
red by 31.9
321
#54
30.81.7
28.1→29.9
Auto0.2
Teleop30.5
End0.0
Second
5479
#65
28.92.7
24.9→27.6
Auto0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5495
#61
29.61.7
27.2→29.0
Auto0.7
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Third
5529
#42
21.52.7
17.3→20.0
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
5511
#71
20.81.7
18.1→19.8
Auto0.0
Teleop20.8
End0.0