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Red163
276129.5
411845.1
2540.7
Blue189
95570.0
467861.7
7446.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77180050100150200250163189

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#11
45.13.3
36.740.1
Auto1.3
Teleop43.7
End0.0
blue by 25.0
955
#14
70.00.9
64.165.1
Auto0.2
Teleop69.9
End0.0
Second
25
#26
40.73.3
40.644.0
Auto-0.8
Teleop41.5
End0.0
blue by 21.0
4678
#10
61.70.9
59.760.7
Auto10.0
Teleop51.7
End0.0
Third
2761
#38
29.53.3
19.022.3
Auto0.4
Teleop29.1
End0.0
blue by 16.6
74
#47
46.10.9
46.447.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.3
End0.0