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Qual 472015 Newton Division
Red162
17555.3
172056.1
313077.7
Blue126
548939.3
26926.2
353951.2
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18281050100150200250300162126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3130
#4
77.70.2
63.6→63.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop77.7
End0.0
red by 26.5
3539
#43
51.21.3
50.1→51.4
Auto0.5
Teleop50.8
End0.0
Second
1720
#6
56.10.2
48.2→48.0
Auto1.0
Teleop55.1
End0.0
red by 16.8
5489
#27
39.31.3
27.5→28.8
Auto0.6
Teleop38.7
End0.0
Third
175
#24
55.30.2
60.4→60.2
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
red by 29.1
269
#52
26.21.3
22.6→23.9
Auto0.8
Teleop25.3
End0.0