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Red14
552921.5
19026.1
484213.5
Blue20
50279.9
484116.5
7446.1
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59685001,0001,5002,0002,5003,0001420

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
190
#49
26.12.4
33.030.5
Auto0.4
Teleop25.7
End0.0
blue by 20.0
74
#47
46.11.8
49.447.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.3
End0.0
Second
5529
#42
21.52.4
20.918.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0
red by 5.0
4841
#68
16.51.8
8.36.5
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4842
#66
13.52.4
8.96.4
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0
red by 3.5
5027
#73
9.91.8
11.09.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0