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Red124
252257.2
15547.8
450126.6
Blue110
551120.8
317147.8
58722.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13474050100150200124110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2522
#19
57.20.2
55.054.7
Auto0.1
Teleop57.1
End0.0
red by 9.4
3171
#33
47.81.2
50.251.4
Auto0.4
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Second
155
#45
47.80.2
43.443.2
Auto1.4
Teleop46.3
End0.0
red by 25.1
587
#35
22.61.2
17.819.0
Auto0.6
Teleop22.0
End0.0
Third
4501
#56
26.60.2
30.630.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop26.8
End0.0
red by 5.8
5511
#71
20.81.2
18.019.2
Auto0.0
Teleop20.8
End0.0