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Red74
50279.9
547928.9
346764.2
Blue2
331033.5
346437.9
54187.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9484204060120140742

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3467
#23
64.20.5
58.658.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop64.4
End0.0
red by 26.3
3464
#32
37.93.7
38.034.2
Auto1.3
Teleop36.6
End0.0
Second
5479
#65
28.90.5
28.327.8
Auto0.9
Teleop27.9
End0.0
blue by 4.6
3310
#72
33.53.7
42.338.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop33.6
End0.0
Third
5027
#73
9.90.5
9.28.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 2.2
5418
#76
7.73.7
8.54.8
Auto0.0
Teleop7.7
End0.0