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Red190
13356.4
378527.8
175672.3
Blue196
118109.2
93225.0
484213.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14213380100120160180200190196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.32.2
69.671.8
Auto9.1
Teleop63.2
End0.0
blue by 36.9
118
#1
109.22.8
110.8113.6
Auto12.8
Teleop96.4
End0.0
Second
133
#16
56.42.2
50.452.6
Auto1.0
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 31.3
932
#34
25.02.8
22.024.8
Auto0.2
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Third
3785
#58
27.82.2
25.727.9
Auto0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
red by 14.3
4842
#66
13.52.8
6.49.3
Auto0.2
Teleop13.2
End0.0