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Red190
19586.2
331446.8
501219.7
Blue168
484116.5
191866.5
233924.4
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14974050100200250190168

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#3
86.22.4
81.884.1
Auto-2.1
Teleop88.3
End0.0
red by 19.7
1918
#22
66.54.0
58.562.5
Auto0.4
Teleop66.0
End0.0
Second
3314
#21
46.82.4
47.449.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop47.1
End0.0
red by 22.4
2339
#70
24.44.0
23.927.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.5
End0.0
Third
5012
#57
19.72.4
13.716.1
Auto0.3
Teleop19.4
End0.0
red by 3.2
4841
#68
16.54.0
6.510.4
Auto-1.1
Teleop17.5
End0.0