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Red186
357445.2
13356.4
167157.7
Blue175
246870.3
490327.1
378527.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15610150200250186175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1671
#25
57.71.6
59.361.0
Auto-1.0
Teleop58.7
End0.0
blue by 12.6
2468
#13
70.33.1
64.367.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop70.5
End0.0
Second
133
#16
56.41.6
52.654.2
Auto1.0
Teleop55.4
End0.0
red by 28.6
3785
#58
27.83.1
27.931.0
Auto0.0
Teleop27.8
End0.0
Third
3574
#28
45.21.6
41.142.8
Auto0.3
Teleop44.9
End0.0
red by 18.1
4903
#44
27.13.1
21.424.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop27.6
End0.0