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Red42
7446.1
313727.8
549529.6
Blue66
146634.4
109421.4
17555.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1001210501502002503004266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74
#47
46.13.2
45.342.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop46.3
End0.0
blue by 9.2
175
#24
55.32.8
61.358.5
Auto1.6
Teleop53.7
End0.0
Second
5495
#61
29.63.2
33.029.8
Auto0.7
Teleop28.9
End0.0
blue by 4.8
1466
#36
34.42.8
36.133.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop34.8
End0.0
Third
3137
#59
27.83.2
28.725.4
Auto0.2
Teleop27.6
End0.0
red by 6.4
1094
#74
21.42.8
24.321.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop22.1
End0.0