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Red20
447323.5
349910.4
21326.6
Blue10
130716.8
492919.0
490632.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions455801001502002010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
213
#30
26.61.4
18.016.6
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0
blue by 5.9
4906
#19
32.51.8
28.126.2
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Second
4473
#18
23.51.4
16.214.8
Auto1.2
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 4.5
4929
#23
19.01.8
14.312.5
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
Third
3499
#40
10.41.4
14.413.0
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 6.4
1307
#36
16.81.8
16.114.3
Auto0.7
Teleop16.1
End0.0