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Red50
528623.1
31925.9
124710.0
Blue37
12637.6
492519.9
526527.8
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406201001502002505037

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
319
#22
25.90.2
21.822.0
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 11.6
126
#14
37.62.0
23.521.5
Auto0.6
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
5286
#25
23.10.2
16.216.5
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 4.7
5265
#12
27.81.2
19.518.3
Auto0.7
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
1247
#38
10.00.2
7.37.6
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 9.9
4925
#31
19.91.2
18.116.9
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0