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Red17
151218.2
528623.1
50129.4
Blue46
31925.9
21326.6
454626.8
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions476001001502002501746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
501
#33
29.41.7
22.721.0
Auto0.8
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 2.6
4546
#20
26.80.7
21.120.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0
Second
5286
#25
23.11.7
16.514.8
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0
blue by 3.4
213
#30
26.60.7
16.615.9
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
1512
#27
18.21.7
11.39.6
Auto0.8
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 7.7
319
#22
25.90.7
22.021.3
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0