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Red82
5853.1
54227.8
492919.0
Blue71
345131.1
349910.4
526527.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions625002040801001208271

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58
#2
53.11.0
41.642.6
Auto0.8
Teleop52.3
End0.0
red by 22.0
3451
#13
31.10.8
25.125.9
Auto0.7
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Second
4929
#23
19.01.0
14.014.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 8.8
5265
#12
27.80.8
18.119.0
Auto0.7
Teleop27.1
End0.0
Third
5422
#39
7.81.0
7.18.1
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.1
End0.0
blue by 2.6
3499
#40
10.40.8
10.911.8
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0