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Red41
547122.6
13346.7
130716.8
Blue67
492519.9
456450.7
124710.0
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64642040801001204167

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#9
46.71.2
30.429.3
Auto1.6
Teleop45.1
End0.0
blue by 3.9
50.70.1
43.443.3
Auto1.3
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Second
5471
#21
22.61.2
18.417.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 2.7
4925
#31
19.90.1
15.215.1
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
1307
#36
16.81.2
15.514.3
Auto0.7
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 6.8
1247
#38
10.00.1
10.410.3
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0