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Red120
332312.5
393040.4
512240.2
Blue103
12637.6
490632.5
21326.6
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions51640100150200120103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.43.3
23.026.3
Auto1.2
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 2.8
126
#14
37.63.2
21.624.9
Auto0.6
Teleop37.0
End0.0
Second
40.23.3
25.028.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 7.7
4906
#19
32.51.9
26.928.9
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Third
3323
#35
12.53.3
6.910.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 14.1
213
#30
26.61.9
15.917.8
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0