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Red75
555614.2
490632.5
455516.2
Blue81
550626.2
547122.6
349910.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions505801001502002503003507581

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4906
#19
32.51.1
28.930.0
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
red by 6.3
5506
#17
26.21.1
25.927.0
Auto0.5
Teleop25.7
End0.0
Second
4555
#29
16.21.1
15.416.5
Auto0.5
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 6.4
5471
#21
22.61.1
17.318.4
Auto0.2
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
5556
#37
14.21.1
8.79.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 3.8
3499
#40
10.41.1
15.216.4
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0