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Red109
512240.2
50917.3
526527.8
Blue87
264830.2
454626.8
345131.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5470010015020025010987

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.22.5
30.232.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
red by 9.1
3451
#13
31.10.8
27.528.3
Auto0.7
Teleop30.3
End0.0
Second
5265
#12
27.82.5
18.621.1
Auto0.7
Teleop27.1
End0.0
blue by 2.4
2648
#10
30.20.8
22.122.9
Auto0.6
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Third
509
#16
17.32.5
9.411.9
Auto1.0
Teleop16.3
End0.0
blue by 9.5
4546
#20
26.80.8
20.521.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0