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Red149
393040.4
492519.9
234254.6
Blue104
456450.7
547122.6
447323.5
64%Model gave it36%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88784060100120140160149104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.63.0
44.447.4
Auto7.3
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 3.9
50.71.1
45.346.3
Auto1.3
Teleop49.4
End0.0
Second
40.43.0
28.931.8
Auto1.2
Teleop39.2
End0.0
red by 16.9
4473
#18
23.51.1
18.819.9
Auto1.2
Teleop22.3
End0.0
Third
4925
#31
19.93.0
16.519.5
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5471
#21
22.61.1
18.419.5
Auto0.2
Teleop22.4
End0.0