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Red25
183129.7
50129.4
31925.9
Blue79
81132.9
13346.7
550626.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64850501001502002502579

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1831
#15
29.72.2
24.322.1
Auto1.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 17.1
133
#9
46.70.3
33.733.4
Auto1.6
Teleop45.1
End0.0
Second
501
#33
29.42.2
23.621.4
Auto0.8
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 3.5
811
#8
32.90.3
25.325.0
Auto2.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
319
#22
25.92.2
21.219.0
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 0.3
5506
#17
26.20.3
25.425.1
Auto0.5
Teleop25.7
End0.0