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Red49
512240.2
13837.6
172919.0
Blue106
234254.6
105824.0
50129.4
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions716940608010012049106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.20.6
24.123.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
blue by 14.4
54.61.6
36.137.7
Auto7.3
Teleop47.2
End0.0
Second
138
#11
37.60.6
28.027.4
Auto0.4
Teleop37.1
End0.0
red by 8.1
501
#33
29.41.6
21.122.7
Auto0.8
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
1729
#32
19.00.6
20.119.5
Auto0.3
Teleop18.6
End0.0
blue by 5.0
1058
#28
24.01.6
16.618.2
Auto0.1
Teleop23.9
End0.0