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Red48
88536.7
456450.7
555614.2
Blue52
54227.8
81132.9
346740.1
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7843020601001201401604852

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.71.4
43.942.6
Auto1.3
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 10.6
40.10.1
23.823.8
Auto0.2
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Second
885
#7
36.71.4
21.019.7
Auto1.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 3.8
811
#8
32.90.1
20.921.0
Auto2.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0
Third
5556
#37
14.21.4
10.49.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.5
End0.0
red by 6.5
5422
#39
7.80.1
5.95.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop8.1
End0.0