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Red114
234254.6
130716.8
31925.9
Blue83
332312.5
88536.7
490632.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8352010015011483

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
54.61.7
48.149.8
Auto7.3
Teleop47.2
End0.0
red by 17.9
885
#7
36.71.2
22.924.2
Auto1.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
Second
319
#22
25.91.7
19.020.7
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0
blue by 6.5
4906
#19
32.51.2
25.927.2
Auto0.0
Teleop32.5
End0.0
Third
1307
#36
16.81.7
13.715.3
Auto0.7
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 4.4
3323
#35
12.51.2
9.710.9
Auto-0.4
Teleop12.9
End0.0