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Red39
13124.4
349910.4
492919.0
Blue115
454626.8
183129.7
512240.2
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4785010015020039115

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
131
#26
24.40.2
22.822.7
Auto-0.7
Teleop25.1
End0.0
blue by 15.8
40.21.7
34.536.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
4929
#23
19.00.2
16.616.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 10.7
1831
#15
29.71.7
24.626.3
Auto1.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Third
3499
#40
10.40.2
15.014.8
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0
blue by 16.4
4546
#20
26.81.7
22.824.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop27.0
End0.0