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Red97
13346.7
447323.5
88536.7
Blue80
349910.4
105824.0
264830.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions844901001509780

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
133
#9
46.70.8
35.135.8
Auto1.6
Teleop45.1
End0.0
red by 16.6
2648
#10
30.21.2
26.527.7
Auto0.6
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
885
#7
36.70.8
24.224.9
Auto1.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
red by 12.7
1058
#28
24.01.2
14.816.0
Auto0.1
Teleop23.9
End0.0
Third
4473
#18
23.50.8
22.723.4
Auto1.2
Teleop22.3
End0.0
red by 13.1
3499
#40
10.41.2
14.816.0
Auto0.5
Teleop10.0
End0.0