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Red68
13837.6
81132.9
124710.0
Blue40
23818.6
455516.2
21326.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions72490204060801001201401606840

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
138
#11
37.60.2
30.930.7
Auto0.4
Teleop37.1
End0.0
red by 11.0
213
#30
26.60.7
19.919.2
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
811
#8
32.90.2
28.928.7
Auto2.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 14.3
238
#34
18.60.7
15.514.8
Auto1.1
Teleop17.4
End0.0
Third
1247
#38
10.00.2
11.311.2
Auto-0.7
Teleop10.7
End0.0
blue by 6.2
4555
#29
16.20.7
18.818.1
Auto0.5
Teleop15.6
End0.0