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Red98
345131.1
50129.4
130716.8
Blue58
492519.9
547122.6
555614.2
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7341020601001201401609858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3451
#13
31.11.7
32.734.4
Auto0.7
Teleop30.3
End0.0
red by 8.5
5471
#21
22.60.5
19.419.9
Auto0.2
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Second
501
#33
29.41.7
22.323.9
Auto0.8
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 9.5
4925
#31
19.90.5
17.618.1
Auto0.7
Teleop19.1
End0.0
Third
1307
#36
16.81.7
15.317.0
Auto0.7
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
5556
#37
14.20.5
10.911.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.5
End0.0