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Red109
81132.9
492919.0
456450.7
Blue111
512240.2
555614.2
528623.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions104550150200109111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.70.4
51.451.8
Auto1.3
Teleop49.4
End0.0
red by 10.5
40.22.3
36.638.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop40.5
End0.0
Second
811
#8
32.90.4
29.830.2
Auto2.0
Teleop30.9
End0.0
red by 9.8
5286
#25
23.12.3
18.120.4
Auto-0.7
Teleop23.8
End0.0
Third
4929
#23
19.00.4
19.019.4
Auto-0.6
Teleop19.6
End0.0
red by 4.8
5556
#37
14.22.3
10.412.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop14.5
End0.0