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Red116
88536.7
264830.2
31925.9
Blue120
13837.6
547122.6
21326.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85662040100120140160180116120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
885
#7
36.71.5
32.333.8
Auto1.6
Teleop35.1
End0.0
blue by 0.9
138
#11
37.62.4
33.736.1
Auto0.4
Teleop37.1
End0.0
Second
2648
#10
30.21.5
29.130.6
Auto0.6
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 3.6
213
#30
26.62.4
17.319.7
Auto0.0
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Third
319
#22
25.91.5
24.125.6
Auto6.8
Teleop19.1
End0.0
red by 3.4
5471
#21
22.62.4
20.923.3
Auto0.2
Teleop22.4
End0.0